Kyle Connor remains one of the safest elite scorers in Fantasy Hockey, but the biggest question entering the 2026-27 NHL season is whether the Winnipeg Jets winger can finally break through the 100-point barrier.
My projection has Connor finishing with 42 goals and 54 assists for 96 points in 82 games.
That would represent a four-point improvement over the 39 goals, 53 assists and 92 points he recorded last season. It would also keep Connor firmly among the NHL’s most valuable fantasy wingers without requiring an unrealistic career-year prediction. His combination of goal scoring, durability, shot volume, power-play deployment and chemistry with Mark Scheifele gives him one of the highest floors available outside the first tier of fantasy superstars.
Connor has now produced consecutive seasons with more than 90 points, recording 41 goals and 97 points in 2024-25 before following that performance with 92 points in 2025-26.
The path to 100 points is there. However, fantasy managers should draft Connor for his reliable 40-goal potential rather than paying exclusively for the possibility of a triple-digit breakout.
Kyle Connor 2026-27 Fantasy Hockey Point Projection
Projected games played: 82
Projected goals: 42
Projected assists: 54
Projected points: 96
Connor’s two-season average is 40 goals, 54.5 assists and 94.5 points. My projection model places extra weight on his most recent production while accounting for his established role, expected power-play opportunities and remarkably consistent finishing ability.
| Season | Goals | Assists | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 41 | 56 | 97 |
| 2025-26 | 39 | 53 | 92 |
| Two-season average | 40 | 54.5 | 94.5 |
| 2026-27 projection | 42 | 54 | 96 |
The most encouraging part of Connor’s profile is that Winnipeg does not need to dramatically change his deployment for him to outperform this projection. He should remain a focal point of the Jets’ top line and first power-play unit, where his release forces defenders and penalty killers to respect him as a shooting threat.
Connor should continue to benefit from opportunities alongside Scheifele, Gabriel Vilardi, Cole Perfetti and Josh Morrissey. Scheifele and Connor factored on the same goal 65 times during the 2025-26 season, the highest total by any NHL duo. That level of offensive chemistry provides Connor with an exceptionally dependable fantasy foundation.
Why Kyle Connor Remains a Premium Fantasy Hockey Winger
What separates Connor from many other high-end wingers is the predictability of his role. Fantasy managers do not need to worry about him being removed from the top six, losing his power-play position or being asked to become a defensive specialist.
Winnipeg reinforced that commitment by signing Connor to an eight-year, $96 million contract extension carrying a $12 million average annual value beginning in 2026-27. With the NHL salary-cap ceiling set at $104 million, Connor will occupy approximately 11.5 percent of Winnipeg’s available cap space. That investment makes it clear that the Jets intend to continue building their offence around him.
A large contract does not automatically produce fantasy points, but it provides valuable evidence of role security. Connor will receive every reasonable opportunity to lead the Jets in scoring.
NHL.com’s early 2026-27 fantasy rankings place Connor 33rd overall and 21st among forwards. I would be comfortable moving him slightly higher in formats that reward goals, shots, power-play production or game-winning goals.
The primary limitation is category coverage. Connor is considerably more valuable in points leagues than in formats that heavily reward hits, blocked shots and penalty minutes. He is an elite offensive winger, not a multi-category power forward.
My personal approach would be to target Connor near the late second or early third round of a standard 12-team draft. His scoring floor makes him an ideal anchor for managers who selected a defenceman or goaltender early. A 45-goal, 100-point season is within reach, but 42 goals, 54 assists and 96 points represents the more responsible projection.
Kyle Connor Career NHL Stats
| Type | GP | G | A | P | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 695 | 323 | 351 | 674 | -11 |
| Playoffs | 58 | 20 | 29 | 49 | -3 |
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