David Pastrnak recorded another 100-point season for the Boston Bruins in 2025-26, but the way he reached that milestone created one of the most interesting fantasy hockey questions entering the new campaign.
Pastrnak finished last season with 29 goals and 71 assists for 100 points in 77 games. While reaching the 100-point mark once again confirmed his status as one of the NHL’s most productive offensive players, his 29-goal total was surprisingly low for a player with his shooting ability.
Fantasy managers should not automatically view that decline as the beginning of a downward trend.
My David Pastrnak point projection for 2026-27 has the Boston Bruins superstar producing 42 goals and 66 assists for 108 points over a full 82-game season.
That projection places Pastrnak back above the 40-goal mark while allowing for a slight decline from the career-high 71 assists he recorded last season. He remains the focal point of Boston’s offence, its most dangerous shooter and one of the safest first-round selections in fantasy hockey.
Why David Pastrnak Should Rebound for the Boston Bruins in 2026-27
The most important number behind Pastrnak’s projected rebound is not his 29 goals. It is the fact that his goal production fell well below the level fantasy managers have come to expect from him.
Pastrnak has consistently generated a high volume of shots throughout his NHL career. A return to his normal shooting volume, combined with even modest improvement in his shooting percentage, should give him an excellent opportunity to score between 40 and 45 goals during the 2026-27 season.
This projection does not require Pastrnak to return to the 61-goal pace he reached during his career-best scoring season. It simply requires him to convert his scoring opportunities at a rate closer to his established career level.
The encouraging part for fantasy managers is that Pastrnak still reached 100 points despite the decline in goals. His 71 assists demonstrated that he has developed into much more than a pure goal scorer. He can now drive offence as both a shooter and playmaker, which gives him an extremely high fantasy floor.
David Pastrnak Career NHL Stats
| Type | GP | G | A | P | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 833 | 420 | 513 | 933 | 145 |
| Playoffs | 96 | 42 | 52 | 94 | -5 |
Fantasy Projection: 42 Goals, 66 Assists and 108 Points
Pastrnak’s projected stat line for the 2026-27 season is:
Games played: 82
Goals: 42
Assists: 66
Points: 108
Projected points per game: 1.32
Fantasy outlook: Elite first-round winger
The projected decline from 71 assists to 66 accounts for some natural regression following Pastrnak’s outstanding playmaking season. However, the expected increase of 13 goals more than offsets that reduction.
Pastrnak should once again finish among the NHL’s leading scorers if he remains healthy.
His combination of goals, assists, shots and power-play production makes him especially valuable in category-based fantasy leagues. He is also an elite option in standard points leagues because the Bruins rely on him in every important offensive situation.
Boston’s Power Play Will Keep Pastrnak’s Fantasy Value High
Boston’s power play should continue to provide Pastrnak with a strong fantasy floor.
He remains the primary shooting option on a unit that can also feature Morgan Geekie, Elias Lindholm, Pavel Zacha and Charlie McAvoy. Each player offers a different offensive element, but Pastrnak is still the player Boston wants handling the puck when it needs a goal.
Geekie’s emergence as a legitimate scoring threat could also help Pastrnak. Opposing penalty kills cannot focus exclusively on taking away Pastrnak’s shooting lane when other Bruins players are capable of finishing scoring opportunities.
McAvoy’s ability to distribute the puck from the blue line is also important. A healthy McAvoy gives Boston a mobile power-play quarterback who can create passing lanes and find Pastrnak in his preferred shooting areas.
Pastrnak should once again be a strong candidate to record at least 30 power-play points. That production will make it difficult for him to fall outside the NHL’s top tier of fantasy forwards.
Where Should David Pastrnak Be Drafted in Fantasy Hockey?
In my view, Pastrnak should remain a top-seven selection in standard fantasy hockey leagues. He could reasonably be selected as high as fourth overall in formats that reward goals, shots and power-play production.
There is always some risk when drafting a veteran winger who carries such a large percentage of his team’s offensive responsibility. However, Pastrnak’s role with the Boston Bruins is not in danger of shrinking.
He regularly receives first-line minutes, top power-play usage and opportunities late in games when Boston needs a goal. That combination of ice time and offensive responsibility gives him one of the most dependable workloads in fantasy hockey.
The biggest question is not whether Pastrnak will produce. The real question is whether he finishes closer to 100 points or challenges the 110-point mark.
My expectation is that his goal production will rebound while his assist total remains comfortably above 60. That should allow him to finish with approximately 108 points and remain one of the NHL’s most valuable fantasy assets.
Final David Pastrnak Point Projection for 2026-27
David Pastrnak is projected to record 42 goals, 66 assists and 108 points for the Boston Bruins during the 2026-27 NHL season.
His 29-goal performance last season should not scare fantasy managers away. Pastrnak still reached 100 points, remained Boston’s primary offensive weapon and showed that he can produce elite totals even when his goal scoring falls below expectations.
A rebound to more than 40 goals is a realistic outcome. When combined with his improved playmaking, high shot volume and premium power-play role, Pastrnak should once again be considered a first-round fantasy hockey selection.
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